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Forex Beginner’s Luck: Dodgy Rationale Pays Off

The USDCHF chart featured in yesterday’s post – an introductory post of sorts – I screen-snapped soon after my price target (green tag) was hit. (I was quite chuffed by it!)

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The August 10 candle still had room to move during the day, and as you can see it kept going up to test a resistance level before plummeting back to close lower and form what looks, to my inexperienced eye, like a pin bar. (I’ve set another demo trade to short this pair, but that will be the subject of another post when the result is in.)

I wasn’t particularly confident with this set up going in and thus I probably should not have gone for it. Thankfully, for the virtual balance in my demo account, it turned out okay.

So what was I thinking?

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Forex Newbie Opens Demo Account, Starts Trading Plan

A couple of blokes down the pub recently opened web-based foreign exchange (forex) trading accounts of less than US$1,000. And it seems from the banter that they don’t know what they are doing – nor do they claim to. They treat it as a form of legalized gambling; a crack; a bit of a laugh.

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It could be argued that forex trading for the quick buck, like gambling, doesn’t contribute to society in any way other than to line the pockets of brokers. But one could say the same about short-term positions on the stock market or any other speculative activity. Fair enough.

Intrigued, I opened a demo account on the same website as the guys – eToro, if you must know – which offers live price trading with a virtual account balance. What I’ve been obsessing about since is whether it is possible to make consistent, sustainable money in forex markets under the following conditions:-

  1. Without giving up the day job, and/or
  2. Replacing the day job as primary source of income but NOT as primary killer of time

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Forex Standings

Cumulative results of demo trades logged in "Forex Trading":-

Trades won 5 - 7 lost

Pips gained 421 - 1,011 lost

Avg. gain 84 - 144 loss / trade