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Trend Continuation Pin Bar on GBPAUD Reaps Pips

First demo trade this month. And a win!

GBPAUD. "Continue reading" for more.

Played the bearish pin bar at the the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level.

The pin wasn’t the textbook “hanging-out-in-space-on-a-swing-high-or-low” variety, but it was a trend continuation signal in my eyes having both touched the bearish trend line and rejected the 1.62 round number. (See thumbnail at right.)

Importantly it was WITH the trend! 

(A few losing trades logged here were not, including the most recent debacle on thise very same currency pair. Go figure.)

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One Stupid + One Unfortunate = Two Sad Forex Trades

It’s been a while since I’ve actively demo traded. 

GBPCAD. 'Continue reading' to see the result.

This post is all about two failures I’ve been pretending to ignore since the end of September. 

The first I would put down as a c’est la vie philosophical moment, the other a bloody fool infraction.

First the unlucky one: On September 29 I saw a nice looking pin bar on the GBPCAD (see thumbnail at right).

Simple set up: Bearish pin bar, in line with the bearish longer term weekly and monthly trends, with a tail dangling up into plenty of space. The pin had rejected a 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1.63 round number.

Pretty good I thought. Placed a sell order about 10 pips below the low of the pin bar and a stop about 10 pip above the tail.

Targeted the recent (bullish) daily trend line, which roughly coincided with the  Fib 50. Might have pulled stop to breakeven at 1.62 and perhaps taken profit on half my position at 1.61.

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AUDUSD Long Goes Wrong: Too Early & Tight?

I entered a long AUDUSD forex demo trade at market price (0.8969; blue tag) on Friday, August 13, after noting that the Thursday candlestick looked “pin-like” after brushing a “support level” during the day.

Continue reading for chart of outcome

The thumbnail on right was captured some time after I entered the trade, at the end of my work day here in Bangkok.

Unfortunately, things didn’t change much overnight.

The candlestick at Friday’s New York close looked very similar, with no dangling tail. It was clear that my stop loss (red tag) level might be tested come Monday.

Sure enough, it was taken out (see result chart below).

So, what went wrong? What can I learn from this trade?

Continue reading “AUDUSD Long Goes Wrong: Too Early & Tight?”

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Forex Standings

Cumulative results of demo trades logged in "Forex Trading":-

Trades won 5 - 7 lost

Pips gained 421 - 1,011 lost

Avg. gain 84 - 144 loss / trade